Introduction
[2] Personally, I am a fan of the initiative, as I believe
targeted subsidies are the way to go – let those truly deserving get government
assistance, and for people like me, we
can take care of ourselves.
[3] Personally, I
stand to lose from BR1M. I am not entitled to it, and any reduction in subsidy
will mean I pay more for certain goods (and being in the middle income bracket,
I’m not rich enough to the point that it wont matter *Sad face*).
[4] Nevertheless, I feel that the benefit to those who
really need the targeted subsidy outweighs my personal (and financial) interest.
[5] And yes yes,
if the Government plugged leakages and wastages, strengthened the economy etc.
etc. we’d be in a much better position, financially and purchase power-wise,
but hey, that’s a grouse for another day (and don’t worry, I won’t let that go.
Just waiting for the next Auditor-General report).
[6] In this
article, I want to look at BR1M and write about the 4 reasons why BR1M is good
an necessary. I do not think it is
political candy (and my staunch-opposition economist friends say that it’s
in fact a good idea – but PR cant say that). So, here’s a preview of the 4 reasons:
a.
A web of benefits;
b.
Targeted subsidies are the future;
c.
Right time;
d.
Br1M is more sophisticated than it looks.
A little about BR1M
[7] Anyway,
BR1M, short for Bantuan Rakyat 1 Malaysia or 1 Malaysia Peoples Aid, was
introduced in 2012 by the Malaysian Government. According to some website (which might belong to cyber-troopers), it
was introduced: (a) To assist low-income households manage rising costs of
living; and (b) As part of a long-term plan to reduce Government subsidies on
essential goods.
[8] BR1M’s
overarching objective is to ensure that only Malaysians who need the
assistance, regardless of race and religion, are able to enjoy financial
assistance from the Government.
[9] In
2012 and 2013, RM500 was given to households earning less than RM3000 a month.
In 2014, the amount is being increased to RM700 (650 + 50 for insurance) for
households earning less than RM3000 a month and to households with an
income range between RM3000 and RM4000 per month. An additional RM50 for
Takaful (insurance) will be provided for every household recipient, giving
access to vital insurance coverage which includes medical coverage. Individuals
earning below RM2000 will receive RM300.
[10] In
2013, there were 6.8 million recipients of BR1M. In 2014, there will be about 7
million (and increase of 1.2 million). It’s important to note that this
isn’t because Malaysians are earning less or becoming poorer, but because the BR1M
net has been cast wider, and more Malaysians will benefit.
Point 1: A Web of Benefits
[11] RM650,
RM450 or RM300 may not appear to be a lot of money for some, and the reality is
that it isn’t. But to a family entitled to BR1M, it still means food on the
table, money for clothes, the ability to pay the monthly water and electricity
bill, and even the monthly rent. It gives families and individuals’
breathing space and increased living comfort.
[12] Importantly,
BR1M must be viewed together with the many other Government initiatives and
efforts to assist Malaysians. These include
existing subsidies for petrol and consumer goods, price controls over essential
foodstuffs (around 52 items including chicken, sugar, salt, vegetables),
vouchers for school going children (RM100 per child), the milk programme in
schools, Government subsidized medical treatment in public hospitals, free
primary and secondary education, subsidies for public tertiary education (up to
90% per student), the 1Malaysia affordable homes scheme (PR1MA or Projek Rumah
Satu Malaysia), and financial assistance to the elderly and handi-capable segments
of society.
[13] The
above, added together with other social safety nets – i.e. efforts by Members
of Parliament and MPs, State Legislative Assembly Members (ADUNs), political
parties, NGOs, corporate social responsibility programmes led by private and
government-linked companies (GLCs) and more – are all meant to assist
Malaysians lead comfortable lives. Undoubtedly, most Malaysians are feeling the
pinch of rising costs of living, but efforts are being made to make things
better.
[14] I
believe the government understands the plight of the people. I’m sure we aren’t
Zimbabwe. Similar to how I believe the Selangor and Penang governments care for
their people. Absolutism isn’t something I believe in.
[15] There
will always be natural incentives to ensure that Malaysians are happy and are
able to live comfortably. Happy Malaysians means a happy electorate, and
politically, well, it goes without saying that politicians and the government
will work hard to take care of the Rakyat, as the benefits are reciprocal. To
allege otherwise would make no sense.
Point 2: Targeted Subsidies - Right for
the Rakyat
[16] I
say that BR1M is the right move for the Rakyat.
[17] BR1M
is a targeted subsidy. It targets
the most needy of Malaysians, regardless of religion and race. The
unfortunate truth is that general subsidies are open to abuse. I
don’t want to sound petty, but reality is that the narrative tends to go as follows:
a. A
company with a fleet of cars, factories, etc. uses up more resources and
subsidies than the average Malaysian is able to. Some argue that “We generate
income and create jobs”. While that is true, they also generate profit
using Malaysian resources. Their profit
motive negates the claim that they are entitled to subsidies. They are able
to factor expenses into their profit margins. Benefitting from subsidies
creates a false sense of business efficacy. It just doesn’t make sense.
b. Rich
Malaysians use more subsidies than the poor because they consume more (petrol,
electricity, and even, food). Some say “Let them. They pay higher taxes”. True.
However, the ratio of tax paid to the amount of subsidy used it far higher than
other segments of the society. The more important philosophical argument is
whether they need the subsidy. Arguably, they don’t. Again, not wanting to
sound petty, but if one is able to afford a Mercedes or BMW, cheap petrol
should be the least of their concerns.
[18] As
a principle of economics, targeted subsidies make sense. They are given to
those who need them the most. They form part of the government’s machinery to
assist its people, while at the same time balancing its books. It recognizes
the need to respect a free market economy which promotes competitiveness and
innovation, while protecting the most vulnerable from exploitation and unfettered
opportunism. It enables the government to prioritize welfare concerns while
respecting companies and corporations profit motives. This is the Malaysia
we are striving for.
[19] Contrary to
many naysayers, Malaysia’s economy has grown at an average of between 4.5%-5%
every year over the past 5-10 years. In 2013, it was 5.1% (beating market
expectations of 4.8%). FDI (foreign direct investment) is up (a record RM39
billion in 2013). Unemployment is relatively low at 2.9% for the generalworking age population. Around 1 million young people (18-30 years old) are
unemployed (out of about 12.9 million), and this is extremely low in comparison
to Spain where about 56% of their youth are unemployed (link).
[20] We
will be able to achieve BR1M of RM1200 in 5 years if we continue on the part
that has been charted. In the long run the government will
theoretically be able to provide more. I believe this is a good thing.
Point
3: BR1M – the Right Time
[21] I
feel that BR1M has been introduced at the right time.
[22] Dependence
on subsidies is not sustainable. In 2011, RM32.8bil was spent on subsidies. In
2012 it was RM33.2bil. When the prices of sugar went up in 2012, the Government
increased sugar subsidy to 54 sen per kg, just to maintain prices.
[23] There
is a hidden danger here. Increasing subsidies may maintain
prices, but it eats into funding for other important efforts. Increased
subsidies means less funding for education, healthcare and public amenities.
For perspective: The nearly RM1bil increase from 2011 to 2012 could be used to
build a new KLCC! This in turn has an indirect and direct effect on Malaysia’s
long term growth, which could in turn affect our ability to lower prices or
increase wages.
[24] When
BR1M was introduced in 2012, long before the current major concerns with price
hikes arose, the Government showed good foresight and had introduced a
prudent plan to address (a) the increasing subsidy bill; and (b) the effects of
the unavoidable inflation.
[25] In
respect of the increasing subsidy bill:
a.
In 2013, the Malaysian Government spent
RM2.9bil on BRIM but it had saved RM1.1bil from subsidy cuts. Yes, there was a
deficit of RM1.6bil, but this will gradually decrease.
b.
In 2014, the Malaysian Government will
save RM3.3 billion due to subsidy cuts whereas the spending for BR1M is
expected to be at around RM4.5 billion. So the deficit is now reduced to RM1.2
billion, but with a much large chunk of the economic wealth going to those who
need it most.
c.
In the long run, the amount saved through
subsidy rationalization will be higher than the amount spent on BR1M, even if
more money is handed out under BR1M.
a.
As at January 2014, Malaysia’s inflation
rate stood at 3.2%. Though relatively high, this is much better than other
countries such as Brazil (this economic powerhouse’s inflation rate is at a
whopping 5.79%), Cambodia (4.18%), Hong Kong (4.3%) and Indonesia (8.3%).
Philippines was marginally better than us at 3.19% while Singapore recorded a
1.5% rate. Malaysia should no doubt aim for better. 3.2% is the highest in
Malaysian history, but this is a reaction to the various price increases from
end-2012. The inflation rate should stabilize later this year and our
economy is predicted to grow, further cushioning inflation. But I
understand, this must be translated to more affordable prices for the Rakyat.
b.
Nevertheless, BR1M allows the government
to assist those who will be hit hardest by inflation. The truth is that
increased inflation means some people earn more money and become richer, but
many others suffer. BR1M, being a targeted subsidy, allows inflation to be
managed appropriately without stifling free market forces.
Point
4: BR1M is sophisticated
[27] I doubt BR1M is merely a political ploy.
Admittedly, it can be seen as a populist policy. But opponents will say anything for
political expediency. I think Malaysians are wiser than that and voters
vote based on real policy considerations, and not merely on handouts. This is
evidenced by the closely-fought elections that took place during GE13 in 2013.
[28] The
truth is that BR1M makes sense and is more sophisticated than many give it
credit for.
[29] Economists
from the Ministry of Finance, Bank Negara, the Employees Provident Fund, the
Performance and Management Unit (PEMANDU) and Permodalan Nasional Berhad (PNB),
had come together in the creation of BR1M. Sociologists, academicians and
private sector parties were also brought in during a PEMANDU lab to discuss BR1M.
[30] BR1M
was discussed in the context of subsidy rationalization and combating the
effects of inflation. The budget for BR1M had to be sensible in view of the
double funding that could be incurred during the infant stages of the project –
i.e. funding for BR1M plus funding for subsidies (which have to be reduced
gradually). The likeliness and timeframe it would take to achieve equilibrium
and ultimately benefit was one that featured at the top minds of these experts.
[31] Ok, fine, these are obviously group with a vested
interest to make BN look good.
[32] However, how
far can you get with a bluff that costs RM4.5 billion? And I doubt intellectual
dishonesty is so great to let this get far (I rather not believe that. I like being intellectually honest, and being
Sensible Sam means staying on the fence and calling out the good for the good
and ripping into the bad for the bad – regardless of BN or PR).
[33] But don’t just
take my word for it.
[34] Similar
programmes like BR1M have been done in the US, Iran, Indonesia, Egypt, Nigeria
and other places in the world. The forms may differ and at times it is called
direct-cash injections. Whatever the labels may be, its efficacy has been
lauded by various economists.
[35] In
the book entitled “Just Give Money to the Poor” by Joseph Hanlon, Armando
Barrientos and David Hulme, they are argue in support of such an initiative and
trace its benefits to certain communities. I do not say that 1 size fits all,
but in Malaysia, BR1M works.
[36] I
dare say that the PR cannot wholeheartedly deny BR1M as being an economic model
that works and is beneficial. They may suggest different ways to execute it,
but the core and foundation remains constant.
Conclusion
[37] I
agree that many other things need to be done. The Government needs to reduce
spending, the civil service must be more accountable in relation to purchasing
equipment, illicit outflow of funds has to be tackled, and the tax regime has
to be reviewed. Nevertheless, these solutions are not mutually exclusive.
[38] BR1M
is one of the initiatives necessary for Malaysians.
[39] That
said, BR1M should evolve in the future
to avoid abuse or to avoid incentivizing laziness or complacency. BR1M
recipients should be assisted with existing financial management services and
may be released periodically to ensure that it isn’t wasted on frivolous things
(especially if the handout goes up up up!)
[40] These
are the challenges to any government effort and the government should be
proactive to address arising problems. At the same time, the government should continue
to strive to assist Malaysians raise their household incomes to one day achieve
high-income nation status.
[41] Based
on the above, to simplify BR1M as vote-buying is unfair. To call is political
candy, well, it might be sweet for some, but undoubtedly there is a necessary
sour for others (especially Malaysians whom can afford it and businesses that
will lose the benefits). BR1M strikes a fair balance.
[42] I
sincerely hope that I wont have to eat my own words for this article. But my
sensibility says this is the right thing for us. Fingers crossed. :)
Great work! I have featured it in my blog with a backlink to this post.
ReplyDeleteKeep up the good work.
Cheers
Thanks Haden Hoo. Much appreciated. Cheers :)
DeleteI have a Question tho. YES it is a Good Initiative from the Govt and all. But a Major Question is NEVER answered.
ReplyDeleteWhat is the Source for the BR1M ? Where is the money coming from ? who is funding the BR1M ?
Govt handouts are good, but arent the people also have the RIGHT to know where is this money coming from ? Hope you have the answer.